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Decade: The New Millenium (2000-2009) |
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Team Decade Pages (Average Win Shares /
Points per year in decade): |
Top Team Builders In Decade: |
AMERICAN LEAGUE: |
NATIONAL LEAGUE: |
1 - Bill DeWitt Jr (Owner), Walt Jocketty (GM), Tony
LaRussa (Manager) - Cards |
New York Yankees - 120 |
St. Louis Cardinals - 114 |
2 - Gene Michael (VP), Joe Torre (Manager), George
Steinbrenner (Owner) - Yankees |
Boston Red Sox - 114 |
Atlanta Braves - 110 |
3 - Larry Lucchino (Owner), Theo Epstein (GM), Terry
Francona (Manager) - Red Sox |
Anaheim Angels - 111 |
Los Angeles Dodgers - 107 |
4 - Bobby Cox
(Manager), John Schuerholz (GM), Leo Mazzone (Pitching Coach) - Braves |
Oakland A's - 110 |
San Francisco Giants - 106 |
5 - Ed Wade (GM), Pat Gillick
(GM) - Phillies |
Minnesota Twins - 107 |
Philadelphia Phillies - 105 |
6 - Billy Beane (GM) - A's |
Chicago White Sox - 106 |
Houston Astros - 103 |
7 - Artie Moreno (Owner), Bill Stoneman (GM), Mike
Scioscia (Manager) - Anaheim |
Seattle Mariners - 104 |
New York Mets - 101 |
8 - Gerry Hunsicker (GM) -
Houston |
Cleveland Indians - 101 |
Florida Marlins - 100 |
9 - Terry Ryan (GM), Ron
Gardenhire (Manager) - Twins |
Toronto Blue Jays - 99 |
Chicago Cubs - 100 |
10 - Dave Dombrowski (GM) -
Florida |
Texas Rangers - 96 |
Arizona Diamondbacks - 99 |
11 - Kenny Williams (GM), Ozzie Guillen (Manager) -
White Sox |
Detroit Tigers - 90 |
Colorado Rockies - 95 |
12 - Pat Gillick (GM), Lou Piniella (Manager) -
Seattle |
Baltimore Orioles - 86 |
San Diego Padres - 95 |
13 - Jerry Colangelo (Owner),
Joe Garagiola Jr (GM) - Arizona |
Tampa Bay Rays - 86 |
Cincinnati Reds - 93 |
14 - John Hart (GM), Mark Shapiro (GM) - Cleveland |
Kansas City Royals - 83 |
Milwaukee Brewers - 92 |
15 - Andrew Friedman (GM),
Joe Maddon (Manager) - Tampa Bay |
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Washington Nationals - 88 |
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Pittsburgh Pirates - 84 |
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Decade Highlights |
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□ Analytics were the big story of the
decade. |
Money Ball changed
everything. Sandy Alderson and Billy Beane of the A's had determined, thru
math, that a lot of players who had high OPS were guys who were
underapprreciated and |
undervalued and you
could win with them on the cheap. Michael Lewis wrote a book about it in
2003. Meanwhile, Bill James had been parsing data for years, mining gold
nuggets of factual |
information about
whether old beliefs about baseball strategy could actually be supported by
the numbers, or not. He used these statistical methods to evaluate
ballplayers, as well. |
Between these two, a
revolution of a statistical rather than empirical approach to managing and
general managing baseball teams was born. |
Not that this was
anything new. Other industries had been using statistical techniques such as
regression analysis, simulations, simplex method, spectral analysis of time
series, etc. for decades |
to assist management
in decision making. For whatever reason, these methods were late to the party
when it came to baseball. However, once introduced, within a decade or so,
statistical |
analysis as applied
to management became dominant. So much so, that, unfortunately, it has
completely overshot it's mark. The natural progression will see people
pulliing back from using |
statistical methods
as the bible, the be all, end all, end of story word on how things should be
done. In the real world, statistical methods are used to assist management in
making decisions |
with the knowledge
that whatever model you use is not perfect because it cannot account for
every variable, so you use it as a guideline, not as a hard and fast rule.
Baseball hasn't |
gotten there
yet. |
A couple of examples that I just shake my
head at. The reticence to steal bases. It's difficult to quantify the threat
of stealing bases and of speed. As an analogy, think of |
quarterback Tom
Brady. If you give him time in the pocket, he will slice you apart. If you
make him hurry with a good pass rush, he becomes a less than average passer. |
The same for
pitchers, catchers, infielders and outfielders. You hurry them up, they don't
do so good. Speed does that. The threat of stolen bases does that. Even tho'
you can't quantify |
a threat, that
doesn't mean it doesn't exist. Also, a good base stealer doesn't affect his
own stats so much as he affects the stats of those after him. The pitcher
changes his motion and slide |
steps. The pitcher
has to divide his attention between the batter and the base runner. Fielders
can't play in their optimal defensive positions because they've got to
protect against the |
stolen base. Once
the ball is in play, fielders must hurry because there's a fast guy on the
bases. All this doesn't help the base runner's stats, but it's all real. |
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A quick second
example is the current Yankees. They have three right handed strikeout
machines plunked squarely in the middle of their lineup: Aaron Judge;
Giancarlo Stanton and |
Gary Sanchez. All
tremendous hitters, but all are candidates for 200 strike outs a year. They
all have the ability to hit pop ups that land in the right field stands for
home runs. |
However, if they
don't do that, they're useless. In essence, they are one trick ponies. All
with the same trick, home run or die. I would think that the analytics guys
would be running |
simulations with a
wide variety of scenarios, one being what if there's a righty in there that
these guys can't take out of the park? In that case, they're cooked, no
fallback option. |
As a Yankee fan, I
cringe when I see this lineup. Yet, analytics tells Yankee management that
this is optimal. |
Maybe overall it is,
but, to me, flexibility helps. While these guys will bludgeon you in certain
situations, because they are one trick ponies, they are useless |
in others. I like
guys who can beat you a lot of ways. Handle the bat, go the other way, bunt,
run, not be so susceptible to right handed pitching, etc. While pundits are
bemoaning all |
of the injuries that
have befallen these three and speculate how many more wins the Yankees would
have if they weren't hurt, I think that the Yankees are lucky that these
three |
can't stay on the
field. It allows them to bring in guys with a much wider skillset. In other
words, I'm not surprised that the Yankees are doing better without them,
despite what the |
analytics tell us. |
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□ It's sort of odd to say this, but maybe the
worse thing that ever happened to blacks and baseball was Jackie Robinson
breaking the color line. The game was a lot better when there were |
a lot of black
players playing the game. After Ken Griffey Jr. and Barry Bonds in the early
2000's black players have all but disappeared from the game. Mookie Betts
currently being the exception |
that proves the
rule. This trend started noticably happening in the two thousand oughts. No
one's sure about what's going on, but it's undeniable. Black kids are just
not interested in playing |
baseball. The World Baseball Classic is great to
watch because you see how the different cultures approach playing the
game. The discipline and technical
proficiency of Oriental players, the |
flair and style and
pure joy of Latino players. Black players brought an easy grace to the game.
I'm guessing that black kids have more fun playing sports like basketball and
football. |
Maybe they can
express themselves more in those sports or their culture is allowed to
flourish more in those sports. |
I read stories and see old pictures of the
Negro leagues. Those guys were having fun. What happened? |
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□ Steroids were still in their heyday
in the early 2000's. |
Barry Bonds, who
would have been a first ballot Hall of Famer without the 'roids, won the NL
MVP four years running from'01 to '04 and deservedly so. |
The gig was up in 2005 when several steroid
use reports came out and a congressional hearing was conducted. Everybody
knew what was going on way beforehand but steroids had made |
baseball too
exciting for anyone, from Commissioner Selig on down, to have any interest in
stopping it. One of the most entertaining things to watch in baseball was
Barry Bonds hitting. |
You couldn't sneak
anything by him in the strike zone. He was going to hit it hard. Teams were
actually intentionally walking him with the bases loaded rather than having
to face him. |
Anyway, baseball
turned on a dime in 2005, suddenly making anyone who was involved with
steroids a pariah. |
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It's interesting to
compare the careers of Barry Bonds and Ken Griffey Jr. |
Both were sons of
outstanding major league players who were not quite as gifted as their sons.
Both Barry and Ken Junior were other worldy, first ballot Hall of Fame
talents. |
Both left their
original teams for their fathers's original teams in free agency. Barry to
the Giants. Ken Junior to the Reds. Apparently their fathers had great
affection for their |
original venues and
these were the sons' home towns. Both Bobby Bonds and Ken Senior soured on
the baseball industry as they were traded around the big leagues. Both
obviously loathed |
their tenures in New
York playing for George Steinbrenner. Both Barry and Ken Junior didn't appear
to enjoy playing baseball very much. Presumably jaded from their father's
experiences |
once their fathers
had left their initial venues in the major leagues. I bring this up because I
believe there may be a connection between the two best black players of the
game not liking |
to play very much
and the subsequent loss of interest in the game by black youngsters. Is it that the morose demeanor of these two
during their playing days helped cause the malaise or was |
their demeanor a
symptom of an already present malaise and their behavior was just a harbinger
of things to come? |
Back to steroids,
Ken Junior didn't take them and his career ironically nosedived (due to
injuries) while Bonds took them and his career skyrocketed. Until the roids,
they were both on an equal par. |
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□ We hadn't seen the mercenary side of
baseball ownership manifest itself for thirty years since Bob Short moved his
Washington Senators team to Arlington Texas in 1972. That is a good thing. |
It started with
Walter O'Malley moving the Dodgers from Brooklyn to LA in 1957, Horace
Stoneham moving the Giants from New York to San Francisco in 1957, Calvin
Griffith moving the Washington |
Senators to
Minneapolis St. Paul in 1961, Bill Bartholomay moving the Braves from
Milwaukee to Atlanta in 1966, Charlie Finley moving the A's from Kansas City
to Oakland in 1968, |
Bud Selig moving the
Pilots from Seattle to Milwaukee in 1970 and, of course, Bob Short. These
moves all had something in common. They moved teams out of viable major
league cities to |
other cities purely
for personal gain. Most of the time, it was for sweetheart stadium,
concession and TV deals. By the early 1970's baseball popularity was in steep
decline, in large part due |
to the mercenary
actions of these owners. You can't treat fans like they don't matter and not
have them repay your lack of loyalty with a lack of loyalty of their own. The
game dies if it kills its fans. |
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I mention all of
this because, after a welcome thirty year respite from this nonsense, Bud
Selig and his cohorts dredged it up again in 2002. Warning: what comes next
is complicated and convoluted. |
Montreal had a
terrible ball park, Olympic Stadium. It was one of those crappy, un charming
multipurpose stadiums built in the Seventies. On top of that, it is frigid in
Montreal in April and May |
and you need a roof.
Meanwhile, Montrealers do not want to waste their precious few balmy summer
nights indoors. You need a stadium with a retractable roof. Montreal had one,
the problem |
was that the roof
never worked. And when it did, it had a little problem of dropping huge
chunks of concrete onto the field and seats below. Montreal needed a new
stadium. The Expos also |
had an ownership
problem ever since Charles Bronfman sold the team to a consortium of fourteen
owners in 1990. In 1998 Jeffrey Loria bought into the team and then proceeded
to buy up the |
shares of most of
the other fourteen owners, getting a 92% share of the club by 2002. At that
point, the city of Montreal offered 100 million towards the building of a new
retractable roof |
stadium and LaBatt
Breweries offered a sponsorshop to name it LaBatt Park. So far, so good.
However, Loria wasn't interested. This is where it starts getting
complicated. Commissioner Bud |
Selig comes up with
a deal. The National League buys the Expos from Loria for 158 million, which
Loria uses to buy the Florida Marlins from John Henry who then turns around
and uses |
that money to buy
the Boston Red Sox. Major league baseball then eliminates the Montreal Expos
and another team, the Minnesota Twins, contracting down to 28 teams from 30. |
Where to start?
Montreal had proven to be a viable major league city, they just needed a new
ballpark. What had the Twins done to anybody? They were just being eliminated
because |
you couldn't have an
uneven number of teams, there would always be one team with no one to play on
any given night. Selig, who was flat out bad for baseball, once again showed
his |
callous disregard
for fans or for baseball. Short term windfall profits for owners was his
game. The Minneosta Stadium authority sued major league baseball for breach
of contract |
which saved baseball
in Minnesota. Selig then went frantically looking for another team to
eliminate. (As an aside, as poetic justice, I would have recommended
Milwaukee. Not that |
I have anything
against Milwaukee or it's fans, they're great fans, but because Selig had
spent his career twisting baseball into a pretzel to accommodate having his
beloved Milwaukee |
in the National
League, their rightful place, in his mind). Anyway, Selig couldn't find
anybody. So the Marlin and Red Sox deals went through and the National League
was left holding |
the bag, owning the
Expos for three lame duck seasons, '02-'05. The reason it took so long, three
years, is because the fourteen owners of the Expos who had sold their shares |
to Loria accused him
of acting in bad faith and brought a lawsuit against him. They said that he
got their shares under the pretense that he was keeping the team in Montreal
and that |
he reneged on that
agreement. In 2005, that law suit was judged in Loria's favor and the Expos
were free to leave Montreal. In the meantime, somewhere between 2002 and
2006, |
Ted Lerner arrived
on the scene and wanted to buy the club from the National League for 450
million and move it to Washington. Done. The National League made a 292
million profit on |
the deal as they had
paid Loria 158 million for the club in 2002. Win - win. Except for the fans
of Montreal, of course. |
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□
The Yankees were the team to beat in the American League until the
2004 playoffs when Boston came back from a 3-0 deficit in the ALCS to beat
them. After that, until 2008, when the Yankees |
couldn't make the
playoffs, New York was a great trial horse for other teams. The Yankees were
competitive and got into the post season, but they were no longer invincible
and other teams |
were beating them.
Best of both worlds for baseball, the TV ratings boost from having the
Yankees in the post season, but the feet of clay so that other teams had a
legitimate chance of |
defeating them. The
Red Sox were the Yankee nemesis during the decade. Winning their first World
Series since 1918 in 2004. Boston won another one in 2007. |
The A's with
moneyball and three great starting pitchers, the Angels with an excellent
lineup, the Twins with a solid ballclub fielded a lot of contending clubs
throughout the decade. |
Seattle was good
early including a spectacular 2001 season when they won 116 games.
Cleveland's dynasty of the previous decade continued thru the first couple of
years of the decade |
before everybody
started leaving. Meanwhile Chicago in 2005, Detroit in 2006 and Tampa in 2008
all made it to the World Series. |
The Yankees would
buy their way to a World Series victory in 2009. |
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□ The Cardinals dominated the decade in the
National League thru mid decade making it to the NLCS four times. |
The Phillies
dominated the end of the decade making it to the World Series in '08 and '09,
winning it in '08. |
Other good teams
were the Braves, who extended their Division title winning streak to 15 thru
mid decade, altho' not so good in post season. The Astros were very
competitive as were the |
Dodgers and the
Giants, fueled by Barry Bonds. The New York Mets made it to the World Series
in 2000. |
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□ Outside of baseball, by the end of the
decade everybody and his brother had a cell phone and was surfing the web.
Amazing to think how we survived without these things prior to the turn |
of the century.
Also, TV watching declined, but whoever was watching was not doing it on
network TV. Baseball had fallen to third in popularity behind football and
basketball. Altho' |
the price of
baseball franchises continued to skyrocket, the sport continued to get more
and more challenges to its popularity. Families going to games was now
getting out of reach |
of most folks. More
and more primo seats were being bought up by corporations as perks for
clients, leaving average guys in the dust. Baseball still had big stars in
the Oughts, but this |
was about to change.
The biggest sports stars would soon be everywhere but baseball. The days of
going to a ballgame and immersing yourself in it with your buddies were going
away. |
In a way, this could
have been the fault of the new retro ballparks. They were pushing an entirely
different experience when you went to the park. Gourmet food, lots of
activities, distractions |
for your girlfriend
and your kids. |
Meanwhile, the
political and economic world was a complete disaster during the decade. Neo
Liberal globalization had stupidly moved almost all US manufacturing abroad
in an effort to make |
a quick buck with
cheap labor, unlimited ability to pollute and lower corporate taxes. The US
economy was being gutted by US corporate greed. The 2008 bank crisis was a
disaster for the |
American public. In
a scam, banks sold untenable mortgages to hundreds of thousands of home
buyers and then packaged those mortgages as AAA securities. When these bogus
securities |
went belly up in
2008, rather than selecting the easier route of making the mortgages good
thru reverse taxation, the US Government opted to bail out the criminals.
And, on top of that, when |
the homeowners lost
their homes, the banks got to double dip by reselling the foreclosed
properties. Whoever said that there is no justice in the world was
correct. Worse yet, the US |
Government's
mishandling of this crisis set an ugly precedent for the next crises to come.
We also might as well mention that the US Government also set the middle east
on fire during |
this decade,
starting two permanent, needless, horrific
wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and continuing to support heinous regimes
in Saudi Arabia and Israel. |
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Top Players In Decade Pages (Win Shares /
Points and WAR (in parentheses) for Decade ): |
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All Positions - Top 50 |
Top 20 Starting Pitchers |
Top Catchers |
Top Outfielders |
1 - Albert Pujols Cards (73.82) - 141 |
13 - Derek Lowe Boston (29.13) - 106 |
9 - Jorge Posada Yankees (37.54) - 109 |
3 - Carlos Beltran Houston (51.37) - 135 |
2 - Alex Rodriguez Yankees (77.65) - 140 |
18 - Tim Hudson A's (40.28) - 101 |
25 - Ivan Rodriguez Texas (30.8) - 96 |
5 - Mike Cameron Seattle (35.37) - 120 |
3 - Carlos Beltran Houston (51.37) - 135 |
22- Roy Oswalt Houston (43.16) - 97 |
45 - Jason Varitek Boston (20.77) - 79 |
6 - Ichiro Suzuki Seattle (51.06) - 114 |
4 - Todd Helton Colorado (53.11) - 126 |
23 - CC Sabathia Cleveland (38.68) - 97 |
Joe Mauer Twins (27.3)
- 60 |
7 - Vladimir Guerrero
Montreal (43.92) - 111 |
5 - Mike Cameron Seattle (35.37) - 120 |
24 - Roy Halladay Toronto (45.45) - 96 |
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8 - Johnny Damon KC (39.51) - 110 |
6 - Ichiro Suzuki Seattle (51.06) - 114 |
28 - Jamie Moyer Seattle (22) - 93 |
Top First Basemen |
12- Bobby Abreu Phillies (44.83) - 106 |
7 - Vladimir Guerrero Montreal (43.92) - 111 |
29 - Andy Pettitte Yankees (32.02) - 93 |
1 - Albert Pujols Cards (73.82) - 141 |
14 - Lance Berkman
Houston (46.31) - 104 |
8 - Johnny Damon KC (39.51) - 110 |
30 - Barry Zito A's (35.4) - 93 |
4 - Todd Helton Colorado (53.11) - 126 |
15- Barry Bonds Giants (59.11) - 104 |
9 - Jorge Posada Yankees (37.54) - 109 |
31 - Randy Johnson Arizona (51.25) - 91 |
43 - Jason Giambi A's (38.84) - 80 |
16 - Torii Hunter Angels (35.42) - 103 |
10 - Mariano Rivera Yankees (33.04) - 107 |
32 - Mark Buehrle Chicago (41.42) - 90 |
44 - Derek Lee Cubs (31.98) - 80 |
17 - Jim Edmonds Cards (38.04) - 102 |
11 - Derek Jeter Yankees (44.1) - 106 |
34 - Greg Maddux Braves (29.7) - 88 |
46 - Carlos Delgado Toronto (33.05) - 78 |
21 - Andruw Jones Braves (41.85) - 98 |
12- Bobby Abreu Phillies (44.83) - 106 |
35 - Johann Santana Twins (46.15) - 86 |
Jim Thome Cleveland (37.68) - 72 |
33 - Manny Ramirez Boston (43.64)- 90 |
13 - Derek Lowe Boston (29.13) - 106 |
37 - Javier Vazquez Montreal (42.38) - 85 |
Mark Texeira Texas (36.57) - 68 |
39 - Juan Pierre Colorado (15.81) - 82 |
14 - Lance Berkman Houston (46.31) - 104 |
38 - Tom Glavine Braves (27.72) - 84 |
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48 - Brian Giles Pirates (36.82) - 77 |
15- Barry Bonds Giants (59.11) - 104 |
41 - Livan Hernandez Giants (19.37) - 80 |
Top Second Basemen |
50 - Carl Crawford Tampa Bay (28.61) - 76 |
16 - Torii Hunter Angels (35.42) - 103 |
42 - Mike Mussina Yankees (40.82) - 80 |
36 - Alfonso Soriano Yankees (24.1) - 86 |
JD Drew Boston (39.15) - 75 |
17 - Jim Edmonds Cards (38.04) - 102 |
50 - Kevin Millwood Braves (21.55) - 76 |
Jeff Kent Giants (32.96) - 75 |
Magglio Ordonez Chicago (31.26) - 74 |
18 - Tim Hudson A's (40.28) - 101 |
Chris Carpenter Cards (24.56) - 75 |
Brian Roberts Baltimore (27.98) - 61 |
Gary Sheffield Dodgers (33.5) - 74 |
19 - Miguel Tejada A's (42.75) - 99 |
John Smoltz Braves (23.19) - 75 |
Chase Utley Phillies (42.23) - 52 |
Kenny Lofton Cleveland (20.84)
- 72 |
20 - Trevor Hoffman San Diego (11.91) - 98 |
Curt Schilling Arizona (46.21) - 74 |
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21 - Andruw Jones Braves (41.85) - 98 |
Pedro Martinez Boston (45.65) - 72 |
Top Shortstops |
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22- Roy Oswalt Houston (43.16) - 97 |
Brandon Webb Arizona (32.97)
- 72 |
11 - Derek Jeter Yankees (44.1) - 106 |
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23 - CC Sabathia Cleveland (38.68) - 97 |
Josh Beckett Boston (28.29) - 70 |
19 - Miguel Tejada A's (42.75) - 99 |
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24 - Roy Halladay Toronto (45.45) - 96 |
Jake Peavy San Diego (24.8) - 67 |
26 - Rafael Furcal Braves (33.45) - 96 |
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25 - Ivan Rodriguez Texas (30.8) - 96 |
Matt Morris Cards (10.97) - 63 |
27 - Jimmy Rollins Phillies (34.98) - 95 |
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26 - Rafael Furcal Braves (33.45) - 96 |
Roger Clemens Yankees (35.07) - 62 |
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27 - Jimmy Rollins Phillies (34.98) - 95 |
Cliff Lee Cleveland (17.32) - 61 |
Top Third Basemen |
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28 - Jamie Moyer Seattle (22) - 93 |
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2 - Alex Rodriguez Yankees (77.65) - 140 |
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29 - Andy Pettitte Yankees (32.02) - 93 |
Top Relief Pitchers |
40 - Scott Rolen Cards (48.36) - 82 |
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30 - Barry Zito A's (35.4) - 93 |
10 - Mariano Rivera Yankees (33.04) - 107 |
47 - Chipper Jones Braves (50.57) - 78 |
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31 - Randy Johnson Arizona (51.25) - 91 |
20 - Trevor Hoffman San Diego
(11.91) - 98 |
Adrian Beltre Seattle (40.53) - 61 |
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32 - Mark Buehrle Chicago (41.42) - 90 |
49 - Jason Isringhausen Cards
(10.05) - 76 |
Placido Polanco Phillies (37.22) - 55 |
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33 - Manny Ramirez Boston (43.64)- 90 |
Joe Nathan Twins (20.1) - 75 |
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34 - Greg Maddux Braves (29.7) - 88 |
Billy Wagner Houston (17.63) - 73 |
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35 - Johann Santana Twins (46.15) - 86 |
Francisco Rodriguez Anaheim (16.14) - 64 |
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36 - Alfonso Soriano Yankees (24.1) - 86 |
Armando Benitez Mets (9.92)
- 62 |
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37 - Javier Vazquez Montreal (42.38) - 85 |
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38 - Tom Glavine Braves (27.72) - 84 |
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39 - Juan Pierre Colorado (15.81) - 82 |
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40 - Scott Rolen Cards (48.36) - 82 |
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41 - Livan Hernandez Giants (19.37) - 80 |
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42 - Mike Mussina Yankees (40.82) - 80 |
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43 - Jason Giambi A's (38.84) - 80 |
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44 - Derek Lee Cubs (31.98) - 80 |
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45 - Jason Varitek Boston (20.77) - 79 |
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46 - Carlos Delgado Toronto (33.05) - 78 |
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47 - Chipper Jones Braves (50.57) - 78 |
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48 - Brian Giles Pirates (36.82) - 77 |
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49 - Jason Isringhausen Cards (10.05) - 76 |
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50 - Kevin Millwood Braves (21.55) - 76 |
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50 - Carl Crawford Tampa Bay (28.61) - 76 |
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